Iranian President Ahmadinejad said: “In my opinion there will be no problem with the leader [Khamenei] and I will take up this issue until the last moment with him,” Even though Ahmadinejad seems to be optimistic, the decision does not seem to be changed because the Guardian Council was acting according to the instructions of the supreme leader.

Former Russian president was known, as being close to current Russian president Putin who used to be a prime minister at the time the former was a president. Many criticized the move that Putin made and considered it a game to stay in power then to return as a President again today. Ahmadinejad seems to be determined to fight for the right of his ally Mashaei to participate in the next elections even though it is impossible. If such a think would happen, Ahmadinejad would stay close to power.

The eight approved candidates are all considered conservative and loyal to the Supreme leader. Some of them leaded the nuclear negotiations with the west while another is even family related to the supreme leader.

Last elections witnessed a lot of demonstrations against the result that was considered not genuine when President Ahmadinejad was elected to become the current president of Iran. Even though the president enjoys a variety of authority control in the county, the supreme leader stays as the higher commander in the country when talking about critical decision-making.

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Israeli leadership passed a threat to the Lebanese president stating that the former will destroy the country of the latter and return it fifty years in time if Hezbollah makes any attack from the Lebanese or occupied Golan territories. Israeli Prime Minister opened the meeting of his government by stating that Israel will continue to target any missiles sent from Syria to Hezbollah and mentioned that the Middle East is passing in one of its most complicated and sensitive situations since tens of years.

Israeli analysts on Israel Channel One stated that several sources report about a great pressure made by Iran on the Syrian president to already start an attack against Israel because of its latest air strikes of targets near Damascus. However, the Syrian president does not seem to hurry to start an attack now but definitely made it clear that his army will be reacting to any future Israeli attacks. In addition to that declaring the directing of missiles toward Tel Aviv means that Syria already improved its defending capabilities to protect the Syrian sky from any foreign attacks.

Russia’s recent involvement makes the situation much more complicated in which both Syria and Israel will have to commit to the directions that come from the United States and Russia in any decision making. The reason is the need of both Israel and Syria for help and back up from the great powers in any possible wide confrontation. The trigger that would start such a confrontation would be a new Israeli attack on missiles being moved from Syria to Hezbollah or the targeting of Syrian military institutions. Some of the Syrian rebellions streams already started targeting strategic Syrian targets that are controlled by the Syrian regime. One of these most targets is a center that holds the radars in charge of following up with any foreign movement into the Syrian skies.

The situation of the Syrian rebellions is not stable because of the different streams that work under the name “Syrian revolution”. One of these streams known for “Jaysh AlNusra”; AlNusra army is known for being very close to the Al-Qaida and acts violently by killing any individual from the Syrian regime that can be found. In addition, “Jaysh AlNusra” is known for its strategy of creating chaos and violence in order to reach a situation where it can control and lead; similar to Al-Zarqawi former strategy in Iraq.

In the next few days the political decision from all the sides would decide the way events will take place in the region but it is clear that one event would lead to several inevitable events that would take place through the region and lead its countries into a wide violent confrontation.

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Israel thought that it will be easy to convince Russia not to give Syria any S300 missiles that make it impossible for the Israeli air force to enter the Syrian skies and in the future the Lebanese too. The Russian campaign started with a statement made by the foreign minister stating that Russia will not cancel its deal of the S300 missiles to Syria. In addition, war ships started to move towards Syria and a clear warning was sent by a statement made by President Putin that Russia will not accept any armed attacked against Syria from the outside.

Iran, Syria and Hezbollah are planning carefully their next steps in which no military reaction was made by the Syrian regime while several movements were noticed in the Golan occupied heights that Israel is worried of. Since the seventies, Israel moved no tanks into the Jabal Sheikh until a couple of days ago when several missiles fell on the top of the mountain. The plan seems to be to give the green light to Hezbollah to start its operations and activities through the Syrian borders with Israel that were silent for the last forty years. At the same time, Hezbollah continues to maintain more and more developed missiles that would not make it easy for Israel to start an air attack against Lebanese targets.

The Russian support for Syria makes it more complicated for the U.S and the west to authorize any future attacks against Syria easily. The possibility of rapid developments in the region would make the west reconsider every step before making it. However, this does not mean that soon the U.S or Israel will have to make a decision regarding their plans towards Iran’s nuclear projects. Any former plan that included the involvement of Israel alone in an air attack against Iranian targets is out of discussion now; the reason is the failure in removing Al-Assad’s regime and the continuous arming of Hezbollah and Syria with missiles that can reach specific targets through most of the north of Israel. This means that other powers such as turkey, the U.S forces in the region and other countries will have to be a part of any possible armed campaign against Syria. Turkey does not seem to be giving its final agreement to be part of any attack but the at same time continues to give calming signs to the U.S that it is an ally of the latter and its allies in the region.

By the end of 2013 it will be hard to predict what will be happening but this summer seems to be a very hot one in which any sudden event would make a rapid development in the situation.

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Many challenges are waiting for President Obama starting from choosing the secretaries of treasury and state, to facing the economical obstacles within the U.S and foreign policy applied in the Iranian issue and the Palestinian cause.

The President will have to choose wisely his secretaries while making sure to cooperate with leaders from both the democratic and the republicans to make sure that the economy develops in a way or another. Such an achievement within the U.S would give him a chance to act wisely and quietly when talking about foreign policy. The President was elected in the first and second times for his promises of change and using democratic and diplomatic options as a priority when talking about the U.S strategies around the world.

The Iranian issue would be the most important in the eyes of the American leadership. Now there is a very good chance to sit and think about a diplomatic solution that would put an end to the obsession that the world has been living lately about whether a war would be started in the Middle East or not. Iranian president Ahmadi Najad made a statement on the second day after President Obama won the elections stating that Iran does not need nuclear weapons. The Iranian president also stated that he is ready to sit and talk with the American president about peace in the world. Such a statement sends a clear message that the Iranian leadership is willing to cooperate diplomatically with the International community and any diplomatic achievement would end the siege that is affecting the Iranian people and also prevent a war that will destroy the Middle East. President Obama will have to go through this real exam that will show how much he believes in the liberal and democratic values that brought him twice to the White House.

The Palestinian cause would be the most important issue in the eyes of the Arab world and those who believe in the importance of justice and democratic values. In his first term, President Obama did not make a real achievement that pushes towards ending the Israeli occupation and the establishment of a Palestinian state. Many thought when he was elected that the democratic values and norms which he talked about would be applied. Many believed that the words which the President said at the UN about seeing a Palestinian independent state at 2011 would become a reality. But on the contrary, the Israeli current leadership which is becoming more extreme every day continued to build settlements, to occupy the Palestinian lands and destroy the Palestinian economy and the most important to invest in making the two states solution an impossible one. The Palestinian cause is not only a Palestinian one but an Arab and Islamic that affects the whole Middle East. Without reaching a solution and preventing the Israeli rightist leadership from applying its projects of maintaining the Palestinian people under occupation and turning the idea of a Palestinian state into an illusion, no peace or stability can be achieved in the Middle East.

President Obama would face challenges and it is natural to face this when trying to apply justice and democratic values by ending the suffering of a people that is under occupation since a long time and by preventing a war with Iran that can bring a lot of destruction and loss. Such achievements demand boldness and true belief in justice and democracy. History will judge and strategies that would be chosen will show whether eventually democracy and liberalism would win or fear and use of power would control the destiny of nations.

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According to The New York Times, President Obama is making every possible effort to convince the Israelis not to attack Iran at the meanwhile. The American administration is developing a package of threats and diplomatic warnings to the Iranian regime regarding its nuclear projects. The package according to Nytimes includes a range of steps short of war that includes a red line and a description of what would cause an American armed operation against Iran. Nytimes also published that the U.S will later this month hold the largest minesweeping exercise in the Persian Gulf that is expected to be considered a defensive step to prevent Iran from attempting to block oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz. On the other side, Iran announced that it would be holding defensive exercises this fall.

The Israelis are not satisfied and this is clear in both the statements of the Israeli government and the Israeli media that is preparing day and night for a war with Iran that is shown as inevitable. Yesterday 2nd of September 2012, Israeli Prime Minister criticizes President Obama for “being too vague about how far Iran can go. According to Nytimes, Netanyahu said: “The international community is not setting Iran a clear red line, and Iran does not see international determination to stop its nuclear project,” he told his cabinet. “Until Iran sees a clear red line and such determination, it will not stop the progress of its nuclear project — and Iran must not be allowed to have nuclear weapons.” Not only that, but it was clearly lately that Netanyahu’s government even tried to get involved in the American elections and support the Republican candidate Romney who seemed to hold closer opinions with Netanyahu.

The Israeli media is not satisfied too; Yadeot Ahronot published yesterday the 2nd of September 2012 that the U.S has been sending messages to the Iranian regime. Shemon Shefer wrote that the American administration sent clear messages through European diplomats to the Iranians that the U.S WILL NOT take part in any possible Israeli attack against Iran. The messages according to Yadeot Ahronot included an American request from Iran not to attack any American targets in the gulf area because it will not be leaded after the Israeli attempts to start a regional war in the Middle East. This is considered a failure in the eyes of the Israelis who are demanding a stricter stand form the American administration that includes a clear message that the U.S will attack Iran unless the latter cooperates and gives up its nuclear projects.

Economy seems to be the most important subject in the next American Presidential Elections. Any kind of war between the U.S and Iran would definitely result in affecting the Oil Industry that depends largely on the Strait of Hormuz. The Iranians stated several times that they would close the Strait of Hormuz if the West or Israel attacks them. Not only that, but the Iranians also succeeded in making a political achievement through the non-aligned summit that was held in Iran lately. Adding to that, the strong relations that connect Iran with Russia and China today. The Russians refused to allow a Western military involvement in Syria that is a minor ally when compared to Iran and the mutual interests it holds with Russia when talking about Oil and different industries.

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Even though the polls show that about sixty five percent of the Israeli people prefer other options rather than starting a war with Iran that will cost Israel a lot, the Israeli leadership and the Israeli media continue to hold almost daily discussions about how Iran

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Several analysts connected the amendment to the Israeli Prime Minister desire to be able to launch an attack Iran when possible without the need for a lot of internal preparations within Israel.

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